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A shares dive at midday, what happened! Is 3400 really the peak in December?Last Friday, A shares successfully stood at 3,400 points. At the weekend, Liu Changsong, the big V, said: 3,418 points is the top area in December, but this year it has risen by 3,500 points.According to Liu Changsong's point of view, to put it bluntly, shrinkage will fall. Then, according to this logic, because everyone is buying up and not buying down, they will continue to shrink when they fall, so they will continue to fall. Then how to explain the sudden surge in volume at the end of September? How to explain the continuous decline after the release of the sky on October 8? In fact, people who see the heavy volume re-enter the market are now in the position of 10.8.

Among the national debt and political debt, I chose the only political bond ETF in the two cities. Although the debt base is very safe and the risk is very small, the latter has a short duration compared with 30 years, and the short-term withdrawal is even smaller due to the negative impact. In addition, the government debt itself is also a "quasi-national debt", because of the credit risk compensation, it has a higher yield and a higher cost performance than the national debt.Therefore, the logic of Liu Changsong's bearish position is wrong. I am also cautious in this position, but the reason why I am cautious is that the theme stocks are too hot and the blue chips have been stagnating, so there is a problem of switching market styles, not whether the market will fall. Because of the recent stagflation of blue chips, there is no momentum for the market to fall.Among the national debt and political debt, I chose the only political bond ETF in the two cities. Although the debt base is very safe and the risk is very small, the latter has a short duration compared with 30 years, and the short-term withdrawal is even smaller due to the negative impact. In addition, the government debt itself is also a "quasi-national debt", because of the credit risk compensation, it has a higher yield and a higher cost performance than the national debt.

Ass determines the head, and there are always people who are happy and sad. For the retail investors who hold positions in our venue, people's minds are rising, but not necessarily for some people who watch the drama outside the venue.According to Liu Changsong's point of view, to put it bluntly, shrinkage will fall. Then, according to this logic, because everyone is buying up and not buying down, they will continue to shrink when they fall, so they will continue to fall. Then how to explain the sudden surge in volume at the end of September? How to explain the continuous decline after the release of the sky on October 8? In fact, people who see the heavy volume re-enter the market are now in the position of 10.8.Recently, there have been a lot of monster stocks because the index has set up a theme to sing opera. However, if the index can't continue to build up here, the theme of singing opera is also at risk of flameout. Therefore, there is an urgent need for stagflation blue chips to come out, but because blue chips are institutional tickets, in the final analysis, it depends on whether institutions can strengthen their confidence.